Non-standard question: Instead of the 2014 referendum question, respondents were asked "Do you agree that Scotland should become an independent country?" The other tables reflect different ways questions around Independence can be asked, they may produce different results. Analysis pieces written by YouGovs data journalists based on data collected about or relating to Voting Intention. Support for Welsh independence has fallen back to its lowest level in three years, a St David's Day poll for Wales carried out by pollsters YouGov has shown. Nicola Sturgeon expected to resign as Scottish First Minister today But why? Worst-case scenario could see 120,000 Covid-19 deaths this winter scientists, Watch: Gary Neville slams PM as he rages over brutal UC cut, French border guards warn this will be what it is like after Brexit. Back to 1970s., BlackRock Throgmorton Trust Impressive run continues, Police arrest fugitive suspected of stabbing mother and daughter to death, EU workers contribute 2,300 more in taxes than the average Brit, EuroMillions Results for Friday 24 June 2022 Tonights winning numbers, Domestic abuse calls up 25% in coronavirus lockdown charity, International press document Britains Brexit bregret, World War II paratrooper says Brexit is breaking his heart on his 100th birthday. We list the most recent surveys: Wings Over Scotland poll, conducted by Panelbase, reported on 14 Feb 2023: Confirmation Bias for BeginnersFull results, By well over 2 to 1, respondents felt that they were being let down by the people who are supposed to speak for them. Following Margaret Thatchers departure from Downing Street, support for Scottish independence fell back slightly and was polling around 30% in the middle of the 1990s. We don't have an account for this email address. Easy-to-digest video clips. Separate from the question of how Scots might vote in a hypothetical second referendum is the question of whether there should be a second referendum. 2019 thelondoneconomic.com - TLE, International House, 24 Holborn Viaduct, London EC1A 2BN. The Tory lead over Labour was as high as 10% throughout April, May and June 2021. We do not charge or put articles behind a paywall. YouGov found . Under this unlikely but not impossible scenario, the Electoral Calculus seat predictor says Labour would end up with 37 Scottish MPs, the SNP would have 10, the Tories seven and the Lib Dems five. All Rights Reserved. Much of the YouGov poll's Labour lead was buoyed by 17% of people who had previously voted for Boris Johnson saying they would now vote for Labour - double that of a week ago. The YouGov Cost of Living Segmentation YouGov 12:02 7-Feb-23. To donate or subscribe to The London Economic, click here. The current voting intention trend can be seen in the most recent individual polls: Delta Poll (27 February) which placed Labour on 46%, the Conservatives on 31%, and the Liberal Democrts on 8%. If you can afford to contribute a small donation to the site it will help us to continue our work in the best interests of the public. A high percentage of respondents agreeing that people should be free to express their transgender identity does not however translate into support for reforming the Gender Recognition Act based on self-declaration. 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"If the SNP did campaign on the next General Election as a 'de facto' second Scottish independence referendum, which of the following parties do you think you would vote for, or would you vote for another party?". Non-standard question: Instead of the 2014 referendum question, respondents were asked "In a referendum on independence for Scotland held tomorrow, how would you vote?" The latest survey from YouGov has put Labour on 46% and the . We use your sign-up to provide content in the ways you've consented to and improve our understanding of you. Last updated Nov 16, 2022 View all Trackers (4) Support for creation of a new English Parliament along the lines of the existing Scottish Parliament politics Surveys Data collected from extensive surveys and snap polls about or relating to Scottish independence. YouGov poll, reported in the Telegraph on 31 Jan 2023Full results, The Times poll, conducted by YouGov, reported on 21 Jan 2023, Wings Over Scotland/The Times poll, conducted by Panelbase, reported on 19 Dec 2022: Why do SNP voters hate women?, The Times poll, conducted by Panelbase, reported on 17 Dec 2022, The Times poll, reported on 16 Oct 2022Full results. Please try different keywords. The latest Panelbase survey. Most polling companies listed here are members of the . Opinion polling for UK general elections; 2010 election; Opinion polls: 2015 election; Opinion polls Leadership approval: 2017 election; Opinion polls Leadership approval: . The use of this format has been criticised by pro-independence politicians. That lead then jumped to a staggering 24% in the three weeks after former chancellor Kwarsi Kwartengs mini budget and prior to Liz Truss resignation. Latest opinion polls news, commentary and analysis, including political and voting intention polls, by polling companies including YouGov, Ipsos MORI and Survation. The Boundary Commission is currently in the midst of a review designed to better equalise constituency sizes. Question asked. % 28 45 9 4 1 3 7 2 Con Lab Lib Dem SNP Scottish election 2021: Polling expert says SNP majority 'on a knife-edge' Small movements in the polls between now and May 6 could make an "important difference to the outcome", according to . Please read our privacy policy and terms of use before signing up. A YouGov poll shows 56% of Scots support the . However, following the Scottish parliament election of May 2021, one in which Nicola Sturgeon continued in government albeit in coalition with the Scottish greens , there have been signs of a slight drop off in enthusiasm for Scottish independence. Although these recommendations are yet to be finalized, the next General Election will almost certainly be fought on a redrawn constituency map. Last updated Feb 21, 2023 View all Surveys (8) Or by navigating to the user icon in the top right. Rather than experience a new prime ministerial bounce, in September 2022, the picture was not positive for Liz Truss. Latest opinion polls news, commentary and analysis, including political and voting intention polls, by polling companies including YouGov, Ipsos MORI and Survation. Related: Fear and Loathing in the New Conservatives. Support for the SNP, for Nicola Sturgeon and for Scottish independence has fallen sharply as the partys crisis over transgender rights deepens. Copyright 1997 - 2023 NewsNow Publishing Limited. Further details of the latest voting intentions in relation to a Scottish independence referendum can be seen in the most recent individual polls: Techne (February 23) which placed the Yes side on 45.3% and the No side on 54.7%, post adjusting for undecided voters. Data collected at regular intervals about or relating to Scottish independence, tracking changes over time. The latest monthly polling averages on Scottish independence show No campaigners to have consolidated their lead in the polls once again. The new offer will see teachers getting a 12.3% increase by April 2023, and it will rise to 14% by 2024. Under any election held on this basis, the Liberal Democrats would also be on course to gain 22 seats from the Conservatives. However, coinciding with the roll out of the coronavirus vaccine and the conclusion of Boris Johnsons Brexit deal at the end of 2020, the Conservative party once again opened up a significant election poll lead over Labour. Pollster. The date range for these opinion polls is from the previous Scottish Parliament election, held . Please click 'Create Account and Subscribe' to create a new account and subscribe to our email alerts. Where does the public really stand on womens rights and proposals to reform the Gender Recognition Act? Use at least 8 characters, an uppercase and a lowercase letter, and a number or symbol. Those SNP MPs to lose their seats would include Amy Callaghan in East Dunbartonshire (to the Lib Dems) and Richard Thomson in Gordon (to the Tories). The Conservatives meanwhile have dropped to 21% of current vote intention, down seven points. The result of an IndyRef today 2 March 2023. ", 2016 United Kingdom European Union membership referendum, Gender Recognition Reform (Scotland) Bill, COVID-19 vaccination in the United Kingdom, Opinion polling for the 2014 Scottish independence referendum, https://www.supremecourt.uk/cases/docs/uksc-2022-0098-judgment.pdf, https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Opinion_polling_on_Scottish_independence&oldid=1142782908, Scotland should become independent, separate from the UK and the European Union, Scotland should become independent, separate from the UK but part of the European Union, Scotland should remain part of the UK, with its own elected parliament which has some taxation powers, Scotland should remain part of the UK, with its own elected parliament which has no taxation powers. Big names to go would include Joanna Cherry and Mhairi Black. The Tories would be on seven MPs up one despite all the turmoil of the past 12 months with the Lib Dems also up one on five, according to the seat predictor from Electoral Calculus. Click here to sign-in and subscribe via a link sent to your email. Yes at 46 per cent when Nicola Sturgeon quit with Labour support rising, poll finds. The current voting intention trend can be seen in the most recent individual polls: Techme (10 February) which placed Labour on 47%, the Conservatives on 26%, and the Liberal Democrts on 9%. Combining deep sector expertise with local knowledge to provide you with a deep understanding of your industry. Britain Elects deals in poll aggregation alongside analysis of upcoming elections and the state of British public opinion. In early March 2023, the Labour Party continue to consolidate their substantial lead over the Conservatives, one which is now trending at 21%.. Polling averages extrapolated in the 3 weeks to 2 March place Labour on 47.3%, the Conservatives on 26.8%, and the Liberal Democrats on 9.3%. The dates for these opinion polls range from the 2014 Scottish independence referendum to the present day. In the space of a month, support for the SNP in the next Scottish parliament election had fallen from 50 per cent to 44 per cent in the constituency vote, and from 40 per cent to 36 per cent in the regional vote and from 43 per cent to 42 per cent for Westminster. Support for Scottish independence has grown steadily over the last forty five years. Our current polling average is based on polls by Savanta ComRes (fieldwork completed May 4). We haven't published any articles, trackers or survey results about Voting Intention. Indeed by the time that the Scot, Gordon Brown, became prime minister in 2007, support for Scottish independence had fallen back to 24%, its lowest level for over two decades. Get the day's top headlines delivered to your inbox.