Which ball counts? WMPO: Collin Morikawa. Arnold Palmer Invitational picks 2023: Our red-hot experts make a Tony Finau ($9,500 DraftKings | $11,400 FanDuel). Prior to that debacle, Bradley has five top-25 finishes in his previous seven startsincluding a win at the ZOZO Championship. Aside from the experts below, Fantasy Insider Rob Bolton breaks down the field at this year's . In the last four events hes played in, hes made the cut. Jon Rahm and Rory McIlroy to finish Top 10 Parlay (+300). It will feature a talented field of golfers. He might have the most underrated short game on tour, and hes no stranger to playing well at Rivieraearning three top 10s in his past five trips. PGA Championship odds from DraftKings golf odds show that Jon Rahm (+1100) is the current favorite to win the tournament. Mayo: Tom Kim (45-1, DraftKings) While hell likely be my pick to win next week, Kims odds have simply slipped too far for his upside this week. Vegas has played well in 2023, earning a T-23 in Phoenix and T-25 in La Jolla. You also get access to weekly betting picks from Spencer Aguiar, one of the top betting. Hes third in weighted SG/approach over the past year, fourth in wSG/off the tee and 11th in par-5 scoring, per RickRunGood.com (weighted strokes-gained numbers factors in field strength). Being responsible about gambling means knowing whether to gamble, Golf Odds, Picks And Props: 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational - Forbes In his free time, Andy can likely be found on a golf course. 2022 Tour Championship odds, picks and PGA Tour predictions Chris Kirk has quietly been hot with a T3 finish in each of his last two starts. I love buying in on players that are coming off a week where they gained strokes in all four major categories, which is the exact type of well-rounded approach that is extremely necessary at a course like Bay Hill. DraftKings PGA DFS Lineup Picks - The Arnold Palmer Invitational Golf Gdula: Max Homa (20-1, FanDuel) I hate rooting against Max, but his odds are to the point where hes shorter than a lot of names Id rather take. With the PGA picks this week, there could be a lot of drama on the leaderboard as well. From Golf Digest Architecture Editor emeritus Ron Whitten: I've always been fascinated by the design of Bay Hill, Arnold Palmer's home course for over 45 years (although Tiger Woods owns it, competitively-speaking, as he's won there eight times.) During that MC, he gained 2.96 strokes on approach, the 19th-best mark of anyone in the first two rounds. I believe there are two legitimate paths to victory at Southern Hillselite approach play or elite around-the-green ability. Thats going to be half the battle at Southern Hills and should allow Mitchell to often play from the correct position. He faltered and finished third but has racked up four PGA Tour wins since that disappointment. Its a good idea to look for a player who has recently performed well or has a good record on the course in question. His outright plays include five major long shots who come in at more than 40-1. Only he and Jon Rahm rank top-10 in SG/tee-to-green and SG/putting over the past 50 rounds, according to datagolf. After starting out the season on a high note, the two-time PGA Tour winner looked downright beat the past two weeks, failing to finish inside the top-40 in back-to-back weeks. Were always looking for courses which wont require the winner to breach 20 under, and Bay Hill certainly qualifies. Matchup Results from the Honda Classic: Caddie: 1 for 1 (Griffin (+130) over Frittelli and O Hair, Round 1); Mayo: 1 for 1 (Meronk (+105) over C. Davis); Gehman: 1 for 1 (M.W. Despite the negative flatstick, he still finished T-9 and T-14 in those events. Matsuyama never gets enough credit for his around-the-green play, a facet where hes earned at least two strokes in each of his past five measured starts. And most importantly, our experts have hit an outright winner in three consecutive weeksthanks to Christopher Powers 30-1 win on Chris Kirk last week. DraftKings DFS Fantasy Golf Cheat Sheet: 2022 PGA TOUR Valspar PGA DFS Playbook Arnold Palmer Invitational: Top DraftKings & FanDuel All picks and predictions are suggestions only. Honda: Sungjae Im. A top-five finish for Zalatoris would be his second in his last five starts. He is priced with peers like Alex Noren and Tommy Fleetwood, who have been competitive all over the globe. PGA Tour risks angering anti-LIV fans by removing cuts at designated Since its opening in March 1993, the golf course at Links Hope Island has regularly featured among the leading courses in Australia. Gehman is co-host of the First Cut Podcast and appears regularly on the Pat Mayo Experience golf podcasts. Check out some of the best photos from the week at The King's. RELATED:Fans are freaking out over the beer (and water) prices at Southern Hills, Most Likely To Disappoint: Branden Grace ($6,700 DraftKings | $7,900 FanDuel). None of us trade notes before the week but weve all arrived at the same conclusion in regards to a particular Wake Forest Demon Deacon at an event with the most iconic Wake Forest alum in the tournament name. THE MATERIAL ON THIS SITE MAY NOT BE REPRODUCED, DISTRIBUTED, TRANSMITTED, CACHED OR OTHERWISE USED, EXCEPT WITH THE PRIOR WRITTEN PERMISSION OF DISCOVERY GOLF, INC. 2023 DISCOVERY GOLF, INC. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. In terms of pure value, youd be hard pressed to find a better bet on the board than the former Masters champion. In general, we provide our Free sports picks today on time, giving you plenty of time to digest our research and get the best golf odds on our PGA picks this week. If he can lean into either one of those talents and tap into that upside, Na could be a scary contender at Southern Hills. Listen to Golf Digest's weekly betting podcast, "The Loop," (above) where we interview the industry's leading experts (and sometimes tour pros) to help you make your bets and pick your fantasy. Hes also top-30 in scoring on par 3s longer than 200 yards and par-4s over 500 yards, two huge buckets here at Bay Hill. Every architect wants their holes to be challenging, entertaining and pretty, but these are the things that happen on the surface, and only after other critical elements have been put in place. I simply had to find a way to get the two guys who have been head and shoulders above every player in the world over the past few months on this betting card and this feels like a great way to do so. Brandon Gdula, managing editor and analyst for NumberFire, a FanDuel daily-fantasy analysis company, recently won the 2018 FSWA Golf Writer of the Year. High Upside: Kevin Na ($6,900 DraftKings | $8,200 FanDuel). We warned you guys after Scottie Schefflers win in Phoenix once this panel gets hot, we tend to run hot! If you are the editor of Golf Digest, Heidi Klum, or one of the twelve people who read my work, you can reach me at brakesrshot@gmail.com. Gehman is co-host of the First Cut Podcast and appears regularly on the Pat Mayo Experience golf podcasts. Mayo: Tommy Fleetwood (+550, DraftKings) The irons arent back to elite levels, but he hasnt dropped strokes to the field in a PGA Tour event since the 2022 API, a tournament where he still finished T-20. The course sets up for Rory as a drawer and bomber. Farmers: Taylor Montgomery. However, sometimes things happen beyond our control. Lack: Hideki Matsuyama (66-1, BetMGM) This is a pure number play for me, as in my opinion, Hideki Matsuyama is a bonafide top-20 player in the world, despite the betting markets not treating him like one. Hes a great fit and, even if he doesnt cash an outright for us, hes still been good enough at this event to get us a nice chunk. Take a look at how to determine which is suitable for your needs. The PGA picks this week present a good opportunity for Lowry to take advantage of his strong golf because there are fewer competitors. Although his history at Bay Hill isnt extensive, he did finish T-24 here in 2020, his lone start. 2023 Fantasy Golf Rankings, News and Draft Kit - RotoWire LIV rebel says he's "much happier" after ditching PGA Poston (+8500). Powers, Golf Digest: Justin Thomas (20-1, Bet365) Im normally a if you can get JT at 20-1 or better, take it) guy, but Im just not loving what were seeing from him so far this season. Many sportsbooks now provide a variety of live golf odds because of the proliferation of online apps. Burns is quietly coming off a T-7 at the Phoenix Open and a T-11 at The American Express. It . He has two top-17 finishes in his past three trips to this event and is coming off a T-10 in Phoenix last week. Hes never played API, but hes been especially potent on Bermudagrass in his short career. 13 in the , he was comfortably inside the top 10 entering the final round before falling into a five-way tie for 21st with a Sunday 73. He is statistically among the top 15 golfers in terms of strokes gained on, off, and tee-to-green gains (seventeenth-best) due to his high percentage of green-in-regulation hits (69.83 percent). I expect the scale to tip back in McIlroys favor this week, who has never finished worse than 27th, with three top fives and a win in eight appearances at Bay Hill. Course Fit ( compares golf courses based on the degree to which different golfer attributes such as driving distance to predict who performs well at each course - DataGolf): 1. He drives the ball beautifully, ranked inside the top 10 in SG/off the tee this season, and he hits his long irons very well. Wednesday's best picks NBA money line: Pelicans over Trail Blazers (WON $31.50) PGA, Arnold Palmer Invitational: Will Zalatoris to finish in the top 10 (PENDING $10 to win $23) Lee (-110) over Kuchar); Powers: 1 for 1 (Griffin (+100) over C. Davis); Gdula: 0 for 1; Hennessey: 0 for 1; Lack: 0 for 1, Matchup Results from this season (Wins-Losses-Pushes): Hennessey: 11-6-0 (up 4.1 units); Gehman: 10-5-2 (up 3.92 units); Powers: 9-8-0 (up 0.63 units); Lack: 4-4-0 (down 0.3 units); Mayo: 8-8-0 (down 0.51 units); Caddie: 8-9-0 (down 1.16 units); Gdula: 5-11-1 (down 6.42 units), RELATED: Here are the odds for every player in the field at the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational. The term futures bets refers to wagers placed on the outcome of the next season. His past 13 individual events have produced zero top 30s, and hes losing strokes in nearly every category. Arnold palmer invitational picks golf digest. The other criterion is that you must be in a state where sports betting is permitted. . 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational odds, expert picks to win and more Our results with players at this years Hot List testing show that some players cant carry a 5-iron farther than they fly a 7-iron. 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational odds, picks and PGA Tour predictions By cutting the cut. The winner hasnt been better than 12 under in any of the past four years, with two single-digit under par victors. Christopher Powers, Golf Digest staff writer: Collin Morikawa (21-1, FanDuel) As much as Id love to make this a consensus Willy Z week, I have to stick with Morikawa, who came close for me at both Torrey and Riviera. With that in mind, here are our 13 best bets ( odds via DraftKings) to hoist that gold trophy. 5 great reasons to put Bonville at the top of your list in 2023, Course flyover: The Western Australian Golf Club. Web Golf Odds to Win the Arnold Palmer Invitational Leading favorites and contenders golf odds from FanDuel Sportsbook refresh periodically and are . THE MATERIAL ON THIS SITE MAY NOT BE REPRODUCED, DISTRIBUTED, TRANSMITTED, CACHED OR OTHERWISE USED, EXCEPT WITH THE PRIOR WRITTEN PERMISSION OF DISCOVERY GOLF, INC. 2023 DISCOVERY GOLF, INC. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED, PGA Championship 2022 DFS picks: A surprising fade and bold plays from our data scientist, significant restoration by Gil Hanse and his team a few years ago, Fans are freaking out over the beer (and water) prices at Southern Hills. So lets dive in. 2 Scottie Scheffler is back to. Lack: Rory McIlroy (+110) over Jon Rahm (PointsBet) This matchup will be extremely fun to track, as I believe Rory McIlroy and Jon Rahm have emerged as far and away the two best players in the world. Jed Morgan scores LIV Golfs golden ticket as big-name stars plan Aussie escape. Both are ideal fits for this type of ball-striking course and Rahm has been a Top 10 machine here as the hometown guy. Sanderson Farms Championship: Sam Burns. The good, the bad and the unknown about the PGA Tour's new 'Designated Gdula: Keegan Bradley (75-1, FanDuel) Bradleys number on FanDuel Sportsbook is a lot longer than youll see in other places. If youre looking to place a bet, there are a myriad of markets to choose from. Before placing a wager on a specific golfer or matchup, you can check out how theyre doing in previous rounds. Homa enters this week's event as one of the best putters on tour, ranking second . Zalatoris has spoken only about the fact that his favorite style of golf is U.S. Open conditions, and with rock-hard greens and extremely thick rough, Bay Hill is about as close to a U.S.-Open-like setup well see all season. Hes historically one of the better short-game players on tour, gaining 0.71 strokes around-the-green and on the green over his past 100 rounds. For instance Kim was one of the. He lost three strokes on approach at Riviera, a trend that has become more common for him than in any other point in his career. Zozo: Hideki Matsuyama. Build your customFanSided Daily email newsletter with news and analysis onAll Golf and all your favorite sports teams, TV shows, and more. Despite the trouble guarding so many of the greens at PGA Nationals Champion course, Kirk managed to hit 54 of 72 greens to rank T-7 for the week, while posting a strokes gained/approach mark of 7.643 strokes gained on the field to rank second. For our complete review, visit Bay Hill's Places to Play page here. As was already mentioned, betting on nationality is a unique and exciting choice. Compared to other top players, he has much less experience at Bay Hillplaying here just once, finishing T-49 in 2015. His floor is very high right now, and he has two runner-up finishes in his past five trips to Riviera. Zozo: Hideki Matsuyama. Final Card: The Honda Classic The Press: A Golf Betting Podcast 18:35 49 . McIlroy hasnt had his best stuff over the past two weeks, while Rahm has won five times in last eight starts. That mental fortitude to battle his way to victory looks great on a resume next to an additional win at Riviera and another at Quail Hollow. He actually putts decent here, gaining more than five strokes to the field over the past two years. He ranks third over the past 32 rounds in Strokes Gained: Approach and has continued to trend up. Read more about Gambling Safety here. Houston Open: Jason Day. He won this event in 2016 and has four top-25s in his past six trips. Players Picks The 10 Best Pga Tour Courses Courses Golf Digest He gained 7.86 strokes ball-striking at Riviera, the most in a single event since his win in Memphis, per the RickRunGood.com golf database. Although Willy Z has been pretty brutal on the greens in his career, his lag putting has been notably good, and a great fit for the giant greens, while his short game remains quite underrated. Additionally, Youngs short game has been in the toilet since the calendar flipped to 2023. Rules Review: What is casual water and how do I play around it? Your sportsbooks per-place payout will vary from one book to another, so be careful to compare them before placing an each-way bet. Hopefully its one of his hot weeks. Sedgefield Country Club hosts the Wyndham Championship this week, where FedEx Cup playoff positions are on the line. Scroll down to see who we like this week at the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational. Ill be thrilled if he plays well, but he wont be making an appearance in my lineups. Arnold Palmer Invitational DFS picks 2023: Rory McIlroy's staggering I love to pounce on players that are coming off an MC in which they gained strokes in both ball-striking categories, which was the case for Matsuyama at Riviera. While the first playoff event is typically reserved for the top. McIlroy has gained strokes putting at Bay Hill in four of his past five trips, which has translated to one win, four top-10s and no finish worse than T-13. With the course stretched to over 7,500 yards, the field will be hitting plenty of long irons into these greens. Im sure hell make the cut, but I dont see him finishing top 10. If I was designing a golf course specifically for Cameron Youngs skill-set, it would look a whole lot like Bay Hill, as the 26-year-old remains one of the most dominant drivers of the ball in the world and an excellent long iron player. The rating, however, was a 0.23 because Golf Channel is in fewer homes than the CW Network. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER. Over the past 50 rounds, Thomas is gaining 1.00 strokes on approach, the second-best mark in the field (behind only Viktor Hovland), according to the RickRunGood.com golf database. The 4th elevated event on the PGA Tour schedule takes place this week with the star-studded 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational. If you want to bet on golfers winning majors or perhaps the FedEx Cup and Race to Dubai outright, this is a great opportunity. All of the major golf tournaments, as well as additional significant PGA and European Tour events, are covered by us. and he won the 2022 BMW PGA Championship over Rory McIlroy and Jon Rahm, who both happen to be in the field this week. Safest Option: Will Zalatoris ($8,900 DraftKings | $10,700 FanDuel). The metrics are sour with no signs of them turning around. Rules Review: I thought my ball was lost and put another in play, then found my first in the hole(!) With the importance of those skills at Riviera, it should be little surprise that he has missed the cut in all three trips to this event. It was down 1.2 units on the week and we need a bounce back. Hes not backing down. Poston. This feel-good story with a 9-year-old girl's poster and Tiger Woods Ill elaborate more below. Every golfer dreams of getting their handicap down, and weve got news for you. RSM Classic: Davis Riley. Clippers and Warriors fighting for fifth spot in NBA's West: Best Picks The well-rounded nature of Niemanns metrics, gaining strokes in all four major categories over his past 30 rounds, should provide him with everything he needs to contend this week. Bay Hill Club and Lodge will once again host this great event, which will begin on Thursday morning. Follow him on Twitter: @gdula13. The American Express 2023 picks: Expert picks, best bets for PGA Tour Houston Open: Aaron Wise. World Golf Rankings 2022 The American Express odds, field: Surprising PGA picks, predictions from model that's called 7 majors SportsLine's proven model simulated The American Express 2022. Expert Picks: TOUR Championship Of the 13 golfers priced in the $9,000 range or higher, Koepka has the second-worst SG/approach over the past 24 rounds, and he has the fourth-worst SG/around the green mark. Arnold Palmer Invitational odds: Longshot, sleeper picks for Bay Hill Follow him on Twitter: @RickRunGood. Cameron Young is +4000 to win the Arnold Palmer Invitational this weekend. Mayakoba: Viktor Hovland. You can almost always place a wager on the tournaments winner at a sportsbook. Most Likely To Disappoint: Brooks Koepka ($9,000 DraftKings | $11,300 FanDuel). RELATED:PGA Championship 2022: The top 100 golfers competing at Southern Hills, ranked. Bay Hill has been a ball-strikers paradise historically, and theres no better ball-striker to go to war with (besides Willy Z) than Kawa. Aside from the experts below, Fantasy Insider Rob Bolton breaks down the field at this year's . Gehman: Justin Thomas (20-1, Bet365) There are more questions than answers in Thomas game right now as he continues to show inconsistencies with his best attributehis approach play. Over his past 14 starts worldwide, hes notched 10 top-20 finishes, including a win on the DP World Tour and a T-2 in his most recent start. More importantly, hes playing extremely well lately, gaining more than 0.6 strokes per round over his last 16 on approach and finishing T6 in his last start. Niemann has every shot in his repertoire, which will certainly be required around Southern Hills. Southern Hills hosts the PGA Championship, and its the first time weve seen this venue since the 2007 PGA, won by Tiger Woods. The PGA Tour and LPGA Tour announced a new mixed-team event that will debut later this year in Florida and replace the QBE Shootout. OPINION: It's Time to Break the Sound Barrier - golficity.com Young finished runner-up at this event last year but has lost his touch on and around the greens since that week. Zalatoris had a surprising missed cut last week at the AT&T Byron Nelson, but its not time to abandon him. World No. This will be Ims eighth start in nine weeks, which is an unsustainable pace, and we already started to see the wheels come off last weekend at the Honda Classic. The fairways and greens are difficult to hit, so there'll be more of an emphasis on short game this week. The 2020-21 PGA Tour season ends with this week's Tour Championship at East Lake Golf Club in Atlanta, Georgia. Tour Confidential: PGA Tour power brokers, LIV Golf goals, mixed events 2023 Fantasy Golf Rankings, News and Draft Kit DraftKings PGA: Arnold Palmer Invitational Picks and Strategy Rory McIlroy has quite the track record at Bay Hill, and that garners him a spot among Len Hochberg's picks to click in this week's contests on DraftKings. Cameron Young ($8,800 DraftKings | $10,400 FanDuel). Your favorite teams, topics, and players all on your favorite mobile devices. To wager online, you must live in one of the jurisdictions that allow legal sports betting, such as Nevada or Delaware. Whats the secret of longevity and good golf?