Technology and politics reporter Kaleigh Rogers discusses the influence of conspiracy theories on the events that led to the Jan. 6th riot, why people believe in conspiracy theories in the first place, and what it means for the future of American politics. Ohio Rep. Anthony Gonzalez announced he is retiring from Congress at the end of his term. The crew checks in on the California recall election and other upcoming races, and talks about how a Trump endorsement is shaping a Wyoming primary. The Supreme Court is probably the most recognizable example, but its not the only one. They also debate how reliable exit polls are in determining what motivates voters and consider how Democrats were able to overcome intra-party disagreements to pass a $1 trillion infrastructure bill. They also discuss the politics of reparations after a Democratic proposal in the House to study reparations for slavery was voted out of committee for the first time since it was introduced in Congress in 1989. New episodes release Tuesdays, Thursdays, and Sundays. fivethirtyeight podcast transcriptsapplications of stepper motor ppt. They also look at mayoral elections, which are taking place in more than two dozen major cities, and special elections for a handful of vacant House seats. Editor Chadwick Matlin turns the tables on Galen Druke and asks him questions about what he's learned from covering the 2022 election and his time as host of the podcast. Google Podcasts - FiveThirtyEight Politics As the House Select Committee for Jan. 6 publishes its final report, the crew considers what the committee's impact has been on American politics and former President Donald Trump's standing with voters. Thirty-six governors seats are up for election this fall and the crew looks at some where full control of state government might be decided by the governors race. Rules of the Game - discussing democratic institutions su Apple Podcasts In this installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, Smialek argues that over the past century, through successive crises, the Fed has accumulated the power to choose winners and losers across American markets and society on the whole. My theme song for the "What's the Point" podcast from FiveThirtyEight, a podcast about our data age. Progressive Democrats have struggled to break through in one of the most high-profile elections of the year: the Democratic primary for New York City mayor. The crew hosts its first-ever 2024 Republican primary draft (they plan to follow up next week with a 2024 Democratic primary draft). 0:00:00 2,. They consider how much preelection polling can tell us about the state of the country and what other sources we might rely on. What to do about George Santos | FiveThirtyEight Politics Podcast In Part 2 of this podcast, the crew asks why House Speaker Kevin McCarthy has declined to call Rep. George Santos to resign and considers a poll showing that 60% of his district's voters want him to. fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts President Biden delivered his second State of the Union address on Tuesday to a newly divided Congress. FiveThirtyEight Politics | Podcast on Spotify fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts By our estimates, the Democrat is on track to win by 45 points, compared to 30 points in '22 and 36 points in '20. twitter. During a punchy episode of FiveThirtyEight's now daily politics podcast on Wednesday, Silver pushed back forcefully on anyone out there accusing him or his website of getting the 2020 election. Democrats overperformed in two special elections on Tuesday, including a win in New York's 19th district, which is four points more Republican than the national partisan lean, according to FiveThirtyEights metric. Last week, we began to explore the most high-profile of those mayoral contests -- the New York City Democratic primary. Galen speaks with Atlanta Journal Constitution reporters Tia Mitchell and Greg Bluestein about how the Georgia senate runoff is looking in the final stretch. The crew discusses what we've learned from President Biden's first 100 days in office and from his first address to a joint session of Congress. FiveThirtyEight Politics (podcast) - FiveThirtyEight, 538, ABC News They also ask whether we should be skeptical of polls showing Democrats performing well in parts of the Midwest where polls have repeatedly underestimated Republicans. Lastly, the team analyzes how the educational divide is shaping American politics. FiveThirtyEight Politics (podcast) | Listen online - Free - No signup We look at two of this weeks biggest stories -- the killing of Daunte Wright in Minnesota and the U.S. Food and Drug Administrations decision to pause the use of the Johnson and Johnson covid-19 vaccine. The idea of the celebrity politician isnt going away just because former President Trump is out of office. 450 episodes. The crew breaks down notable primary races in Minnesota, Vermont and Wisconsin. The crew discusses two elections in Ohio this week that will test the sway of the establishment in both parties. They also look ahead to how the Department of Justice will navigate the complexities of deciding whether to bring charges against Trump and how a Republican majority in the House could respond. With midterm elections in the rearview mirror, Galen and Nate open up the mail bag to answer lingering questions about the results. As we head into the new year and our attention begins to turn to the presidential primaries, we decided to reair our audio documentary series, The Primaries Project. MAJORITY 255 REP SEATS 240 225 225 240 255 DEM SEATS 84 in 100 84 in 100 Republicans win Republicans win 16 in 100 16 in 100 . FiveThirtyEight Politics Podcast | Free Listening on Podbean App They also debate whether the AARP is correct in assessing that women voters over the age of 50 are likely to decide the outcome of the 2022 midterms. Then, Equis Research co-founder Carlos Odio joins the pod to break down a new poll that asked Latino Americans which party they are favoring in the midterm elections. We speak with journalist Sasha Issenberg about how that happened. The posting for the podcast's freelance audio editor position can be found here. What Are The Most Vulnerable Senate Seats In 2024? | FiveThirtyEight We hear from two people involved in the progressive movement in New York City about their thoughts on whats happening in the race and how progressivism is shaping politics more broadly. They also analyze the court's other recent rulings on gun restrictions and school prayer and preview some of Tuesday's biggest primary elections. Each week, host Jody Avirgan brings you stories and interviews about how data is changing our lives. The crew talks about the threat of a government shutdown and debt default, as well as how likely it is that Democrats get their legislative priorities passed. They also discuss recent polling showing that President Biden has disproportionately lost support among traditionally Democratic voting groups. The crew speaks with professors Jane Junn and Karthick Ramakrishnan about the context of the Atlanta attacks and how Asian-American political participation has evolved in recent decades. david senak now. Crime analyst Jeff Asher discussed what those numbers can -- and can't -- tell us, and explains the challenges in collecting crime data. You can get between 30 cents to $1.10 for every audio minute, which sums up to $18 - $66 per audio hour. The podcast turns its focus abroad, to Canada and Germany, to see how other democracies' electoral systems work and what cleavages their politics are facing. 91.5 Chapel Hill 88.9 Manteo 90.9 Rocky Mount 91.1 Welcome 91.9 Fayetteville 90.5 Buxton 94.1 Lumberton 99.9 Southern Pines The Rules of the Game podcast discusses and compares democratic institutions from around the world. The crew talks about why President Biden's approval is underwater, what the consequences are for Democrats and what they can do about it. According to a recent Marist poll, inflation is now Americans leading economic concern. Since January 2021, eleven states have enacted laws that limit how teachers can talk about race and racism in schools and close to 200 bills have been introduced in 40 states. 2022 Midterms LIVE (Audio Replay POD) - The Heartland POD (podcast Video What to do about George Santos | FiveThirtyEight Politics Podcast This is an unofficial transcript meant for reference. They also reflect on how British and American politics changed during the period when "Brexit" and "Trump" dominated the two countries news cycles and consider their lasting impact. The full series is available now on Apple Podcasts (https://apple.co/2QQw8e9), Spotify (https://spoti.fi/3ukYgoq), or wherever you listen by searching "In Plain Sight: Lady Bird Johnson." Today, we wanted to share the first episode of the ABC News podcast series, "In Plain Sight: Lady Bird Johnson," which uncovers the former first lady's surprisingly powerful role in the Johnson presidency and includes history-making revelations about Lyndon B. Johnsons time in office. Tucker Carlson Has Exclusive Access To Jan. 6th Security Tapes. What does the bench of Democratic leadership look like beyond Biden? The crew discusses why the number of independents has been growing and what it means for American politics. Galen and Nate discuss what to make of it in this installment of Model Talk.". They also discuss the latest developments in the current round of redistricting. The report relies on advanced climate modeling to illustrate where global warming is headed. COVID-19 has pushed Americans into more uncertain territory than most have ever known. fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts Why 10 Republicans Voted For Impeachment 300 views about 2 years ago 34:52 The Johnson & Johnson Pause Shows The System Is Working The crew discusses Manchins rationale and where Democrats might go from here. What role do Liz Cheney-type Republicans have to play in the future of the GOP (if any)? The crew discusses the role of the debt ceiling in politics, why it exists in the first place, and the chances of it being abolished altogether. As we head into the new year and our attention begins to turn to the presidential primaries, we decided to reair our audio documentary series, The Primaries Project. In this installment of "Model Talk," Nate Silver and Galen Druke discuss what's behind the recent movement in the forecast and answer questions from listeners. If Europe, and of the shop leave us a rating or review in the Apple podcast store when you rating. Samuel Charap is a senior political scientist at the RAND Corporation and author of the book Everyone Loses: The Ukraine Crisis and the Ruinous Contest for Post-Soviet Eurasia. Tucker Carlson Has Exclusive Access To Jan. 6th Security Tapes : The Transcript for What if America had a lot more political parties? They also consider why Republican senators' votes on convicting former President Donald Trump broke down the way they did. MANAGER'S SALARY. They also break down how candidate misconduct is generally factored into the FiveThirtyEight model. They also continue to track the types of candidates former President Trump has endorsed in the 2022 Republican primaries. Stark-Tuscarawas-Wayne waste district director to retire, come back at The crew breaks down a poll that asked Americans to identify from good to evil and lawful to chaotic on the Dungeons and Dragons alignment chart. @Nate_Cohn: The Democrats are putting up an impressive showing in VA-4, the first special congressional election of the cycle. Galen speaks with him. Feb. 25, 2021. info. The crew debates why politicians break with their parties in high-profile ways and what the repercussions can be. The crew reacts to Senator Raphael Warnock's win in the Georgia Senate runoff. Nevada Democrats introduced a bill on Monday that would change their state's presidential nominating contest from a caucus to a primary and also dislodge New Hampshire from its position as the first primary in the nation. Member of the White House Council of Economic Advisers, Heather Boushey, joins the podcast to discuss what is in the American Rescue Plan and why. They also ask whether a sentiment analysis suggesting that the press is more negative on Biden than it was on President Trump is a "good or bad use of data.". If we said there was a 70 percent chance a candidate would win a race, did that actually happen 70 percent of the time? FiveThirtyEight Podcasts - FiveThirtyEight The State Of The Polls, 2016. They also explain why a dramatic shift among independent women in a recent New York Times poll shouldn't be taken at face value but also shouldn't undercut the poll. Over the weekend, the White House announced that five more classified documents from the Obama administration were found at President Biden's Delaware home. As of this writing, we still dont know which party will control the House or Senate, and we may not know come the morning. From 2008 to 2019, the percentage of people who said they got their news from local papers fell by more than half. The crew discusses why Bidens favorability is falling and how much Democrats should worry about it. During the span of 25 years, same-sex marriage went from being an unimaginable idea to settled law. On todays Politics Podcast, the crew discusses God, COVID-19, and the midterms. We continue our conversation about challenges to democracy in America by talking with Georgia Secretary of State Brad Raffensperger. The Supreme Court is probably the most recognizable example, The crew discusses what her path to the nomination could look like, given that Trump and Florida Gov. Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. Legal scholar Kate Shaw also digs into some of the specifics of the terms major cases, particularly on election law. Galen Druke and Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux discuss the messages that Senators sent and whether we were able to glean anything about what kind of Justice Jackson would be. Tune in on your preferred podcast platform! Accuracy is not guaranteed. This sample of 100 outcomes gives you an idea of the range of scenarios the model considers possible. Since Jacksons confirmation is the expected outcome, the hearings similar to past ones were more about politics. They also look at how the Democratic Party's effort to rearrange its presidential primary calendar is going, and ask whether a survey of Republican National Committee members was a good or bad use of polling. By doing so we are missing another important divide, one that may actually run counter to the idea that America is hopelessly conflicted between red and blue. It was a fiendishly clever and massively hyped invention. FiveThirtyEight Politics News Latest Transcripts How To Make Polls Better 240 views about 2 years ago 01:12:44 Galen Druke speaks with two A+ rated pollsters, J. Ann Selzer and Patrick Murray, about how they view the challenges of polling and what can be done about them. They also discuss why gas stoves became such a hot topic of debate on the internet and what the 2024 primary for U.S. Senate in California will look like. Galen Druke is the host and producer of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast. At the beginning of the millennium, about two-thirds of Americans opposed same-sex marriage, and a third supported it. fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts - lavamusic.is Perry Bacon Jr. speaks with Galen Druke about his recent reporting on the kinds of ideas that have gained currency on the Left and how the Right has responded. In the main event, former light How The Federal Reserve Is The Shadow Branch Of The Government, Why Original Predictions About The War In Ukraine Were So Off. How The Federal Reserve Is The Shadow Branch Of The Government,American government is designed to have components that are not directly accountable to the public. Galen Druke speaks with political science professors Sunshine Hillygus and Patrick Eagan about the history of wedge issues and how they shape U.S. politics. Two days after Election Day, control of the U.S. House and Senate still hangs in the balance as votes are tallied in the Western states. geoffrey.skelley: After West Virginia, the most vulnerable Democratic seats are Ohio and Montana. In this installment, Jennifer Merolla, a Professor of Political Science at UC Riverside, and Hannah Hartig, a research associate at Pew Research Center reflect on the political climate in the immediate aftermath of 9/11 and whether a similar American consensus is possible today. The Negro League Stars That MLB Kept Out And Is Finally Recognizing. The majority of the coverage did not show signs of bias, such as articles on immigration, midterm elections and the Jan. 6 hearings. They also consider whether a poll that asks Americans if they think the U.S. is currently in a recession is a "good or bad use of polling.". It's a big election week for liberal democracies. Rev. The crew also takes a look at the changes to election law that Republicans have proposed in Georgia and other states after Trump's loss in 2020. In this installment of Model Talk on the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, Nate Silver and Galen Druke are joined by two climate modelers and authors of the latest IPCC report, Friederike Otto and Baylor Fox-Kemper. In her new book, Limitless: The Federal Reserve Takes On A New Age Of Crisis, New York Times reporter Jeanna Smialek focuses on another unelected institution with a lot of power over American life: the Federal Reserve. In this installment of "Model Talk," Nate Silver and Galen Druke discuss what to make of the divergence between the conventional wisdom that Republicans will do very well in the midterms and polling showing Democrats leading in numerous competitive Senate races. RSS Loading. In light of new data showing union membership at its lowest point since the Bureau of Labor Statistics began counting, they also look at how that decline has shaped U.S. politics. As we head into the new year and our attention begins to turn to the presidential primaries, we decided to reair our audio documentary series, The Primaries Project. They also consider how Rep. George Santoss scandals will affect his tenure in Congress and whether he would have been elected at all if his fabricated biography had received more scrutiny during the campaign. The cofounders of Equis Research -- a political data firm focused on Latino voters -- share their research on why that swing happened. I'm Galen Truk. They also debate whether a poll asking Americans to choose what they think is the best decade of their lives is a good or bad use of polling. The team also looks at how debates about "Critical Race Theory" entered the culture wars, particularly in schools and state legislatures. They also ask why support for gun control measures hasn't translated into new laws and look at steps the Pew Research Center is taking to ensure they have a representative sample of Republicans in their panel surveys. Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. And they look at the experiences of urban Republicans and rural Democrats in a country increasingly sorted geographically and politically. The crew discusses how much the two parties are spending on campaign ads and if it could factor into the forecasts shift. The data behind that evolution is striking. Rev also gives transcribers the autonomy to work for as much or little as they want. The Deluxe version of our model simulates the election 40,000 times to see which party wins the House most often. The FiveThirtyEight 2022 midterms forecast is live, and it shows that Republicans are strong favorites to win the House while the Senate is a toss up between the two parties. It originally aired at the beginning of 2020 and across three episodes we looked at how our presidential primary system came to be, its consequences and how it could be different. The crew plays an Independence Day-inspired statistics game and discusses how the most recent Jan. 6 hearing could affect how Americans view former President Donald Trump. Nate Silver and Galen Druke open the mailbag and answer listener questions, including how much it would cost to "fix polling" and why Vice President Harris is polling less favorably than President Biden. Galen Druke speaks with POLITICO Europe's Cornelius Hirsch and Clea Caulcutt about the dynamics at play in the French presidential election. FiveThirtyEight contributor Laura Bronner shares what the data can tell us about the ideological direction of the court with the addition of Justice Amy Coney Barrett. Jury Duty: Who Gets Called, And Who Actually Serves | WUNC All you have to do is click the iTunes button below to subscribe to this podcast. Their recent data-driven post-mortem of the Latino vote in 2020 looks at which voters were likeliest to favor Trump and offers some hypotheses as to why. FiveThirtyEight Politics Biden Is Set To Be The Next President 2020-11-07 The crew reacts to the news that Joe Biden and Kamala Harris are the projected winners of the 2020 election. The FBI released nationwide crime numbers from 2020 this week that will likely contribute to the already tense political debate over crime and policing. FiveThirtyEight On The Road - Splash Transcript of What The White House | Happy Scribe In the 2020 election cycle, Georgia found itself at the center of the American political universe. The crew looks at how the Johnson & Johnson vaccine pause shaped public opinion of that vaccine and willingness to be vaccinated more broadly. In this installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, the crew discusses God, COVID-19 The Ticket - A Presidential Podcast comes from the Texas Tribune. The U.S. House Districts To Watch In 2022: 10/17/22 The team debates if Americans. The crew breaks down the results of the June 7 primaries. The crew reacts to the results in Tuesdays primaries in Pennsylvania, North Carolina, Idaho, Kentucky and Oregon. From host Jody Avirgan (30 for 30, FiveThirtyEight, Radiotopia) and the TED Audio Collective, Good Sport is your guide through an array of stadiums, pitches, pools and slopes that shed a light on the ups and downs of being human. In Kim Barker's memory, the city of Laramie . In recent weeks, Democrats odds of keeping control of the Senate after the 2022 midterms have ticked up to sixty percent, according to our deluxe forecast model. FiveThirtyEight Politics Transcripts | Podgist FiveThirtyEight Politics https://fivethirtyeight.com/podcasts/ Nate Silver and the FiveThirtyEight team cover the latest in politics, tracking the issues and "game-changers" every week. Above, storm clouds over downtown Laramie, Wyo., on Aug. 13, 2022. The crew puts Georgia's new voting laws in context and discusses the challenges facing the Biden administration on immigration policy in the short and long term. It originally aired at the beginning of 2020 and across three episodes we looked at how our presidential primary system came to be, its consequences and how it could be different. Economics Professor at George Washington University, Tara Sinclair, joins to explain what is going on with the economy and the potential consequences of a spike in prices. The team also discusses public opinion on gun laws after recent mass shootings in Texas, New York and California. They also scrutinize a new survey that suggests most Americans think "The West Wing" and other political TV shows are reflective of how politics works. They also talk about how the California recall election is shaping up after a recent poll showed increased support for recalling current Governor Gavin Newsom. All rights reserved. 01:00 PM. Subscribe and listen Also available wherever you listen to podcasts Google Stitcher iHeartRadio Castbox TuneIn The crew discuss the 2021 gubernatorial elections in Virginia and New Jersey and the very likely recall election in California. And what does Floridas new voting law tell us about the GOPs efforts to change the way Americans vote, and the partys larger motivations? 02:13:21 - Heartland POD on Twitter - @TheHeartlandPOD Co-HostsAdam Sommer @Adam_Sommer85 Rachel Parker @RaichetP Sean Diller @SeanDillerCO https://heartlandp Nate Silver and Galen Druke discuss why live caller surveys are no longer the gold standard in polling and what it means for the future of the industry. In this show, Jody Avirgan, Nicole Hemmer and Kellie Carter Jackson (and guests) take one moment, big or small, from that day in U.S. political history and explore how it might inform our present -- all in about fifteen minutes. The crew also looks at changes the Democratic Party is hoping to make to the 2024 presidential primary calendar. What do we know, how confidently do we know it and what do we know we dont know? So, the usual. In the first "Model Talk" episode of the 2022 midterms cycle, Nate Silver and Galen Druke discuss the factors behind that forecast. The crew talks about what led to Cuomo's resignation, how New Yorkers feel about his replacement, and what this means for New Yorks 2022 Democratic primary race for governor. New rules for the baseball season, Richard Belzer dies and more prison for Harvey Weinstein and R. Kelly | Bonus sports & entertainment episode.
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